J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Looking at past results between Shonan Bellmare and Jubilo Iwata, we expect a cagey affair at the Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka as both sides look to pull clear of the danger zone. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
| Result |
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Jubilo Iwata |
39.79% ( -0.24) | 27.09% ( 0.12) | 33.12% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( -0.33) |
| 44.95% ( -0.43) | 55.05% ( 0.43) |
| 23.68% ( -0.36) | 76.31% ( 0.36) |
| 72.93% ( -0.33) | 27.07% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.55% ( -0.44) | 62.45% ( 0.44) |
| 68.88% ( -0.14) | 31.12% ( 0.14) |
