J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Yamaha Stadium
We said: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale
Jubilo Iwata claimed a dramatic 5-4 victory when the two sides last met in March, and while we do not expect another nine-goal thriller, we think that Saturday's hosts could complete a double over a Kawasaki side that has lost three of their last four away matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
35.06% ( -0.11) | 25.06% ( -0.04) | 39.88% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( 0.12) |
| 53.89% ( 0.16) | 46.11% ( -0.16) |
| 31.59% ( 0.15) | 68.41% ( -0.15) |
| 74.44% ( 0.01) | 25.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.57% ( 0.02) | 60.42% ( -0.01) |
| 77.03% ( 0.15) | 22.97% ( -0.14) |
