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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 11am UK
K’s Denki Stadium (Mito)
BL

Kashima Antlers
1 - 5
Brighton

Tokuda (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minteh (15'), Sarmiento (51'), Ayari (54'), Cozier-Duberry (63', 74')
Samuels (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Kashima Antlers 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

In the midst of a J1 League title race, Kashima will be sharp and excited to pit their wits against Premier League visitors on Wednesday. Brighton are at the beginning of their summer itinerary, but we feel that the attacking stars within the Seagulls' ranks should fire them to a narrow win in Tokyo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
43.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.25% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34%19.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.013000000000005 0.01)60.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 43.65%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 32.25%
    Draw 24.1%
Kashima AntlersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, July 14 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-0 Consadole
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-2 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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