In the midst of a J1 League title race, Kashima will be sharp and excited to pit their wits against Premier League visitors on Wednesday.
Brighton are at the beginning of their summer itinerary, but we feel that the attacking stars within the Seagulls' ranks should fire them to a narrow win in Tokyo.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.