Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
29.83% (![]() | 22.33% (![]() | 47.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.9% (![]() | 35.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.89% (![]() | 57.11% (![]() |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% (![]() | 23.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% (![]() | 57.32% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% (![]() | 15.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.27% (![]() | 43.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 7.06% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 9.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.84% |
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