SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
29.83% ( -0.01) | 22.33% ( -0.01) | 47.84% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.04% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.9% ( 0.04) | 35.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.89% ( 0.04) | 57.11% ( -0.04) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.01) | 23.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( 0.02) | 57.32% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( 0.02) | 15.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.27% ( 0.04) | 43.74% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.84% |
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