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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
MC

Brighton
0 - 4
Man City


Veltman (35'), Balepa (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
De Bruyne (17'), Foden (26', 34'), Alvarez (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester City
29.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.33% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 47.84% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.04% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.9% (0.036999999999992 0.04)35.11% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.89% (0.040000000000006 0.04)57.11% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.019000000000005 0.02)15.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)43.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 29.83%
    Manchester City 47.84%
    Draw 22.33%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.83%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 47.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Real Madrid (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Luton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-3 Man City
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-4 Man City
Saturday, April 6 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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