Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
41.99% ( -0.26) | 22.32% ( 0.04) | 35.68% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 67.72% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.34% ( -0.15) | 32.65% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.67% ( -0.17) | 54.32% ( 0.17) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( -0.16) | 16.34% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% ( -0.29) | 45.94% ( 0.29) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.94% ( 0.03) | 19.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.36% ( 0.06) | 50.64% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.68% |
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