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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vitality Stadium
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Bournemouth
3 - 0
Brighton

Senesi (13'), Unal (52'), Kluivert (87')
Senesi (8'), Kluivert (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gilmour (58'), Barco (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.99% (-0.257 -0.26) 22.32% (0.038 0.04) 35.68% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 67.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)32.65% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (-0.174 -0.17)54.32% (0.172 0.17)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)16.34% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.293 -0.29)45.94% (0.29 0.29)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.64% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.99%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.68%
    Draw 22.32%
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.025 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Everton
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League


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