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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester United |
49.66% ( 5.57) | 20.49% ( -0.77) | 29.85% ( -4.8) |
| Both teams to score 72.2% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.15% ( 1.61) | 25.84% ( -1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.98% ( 2.05) | 46.01% ( -2.05) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% ( 2.29) | 11.21% ( -2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.24% ( 4.79) | 35.75% ( -4.79) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -1.53) | 18.67% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( -2.63) | 50.01% ( 2.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.67)3-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.56)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.62)4-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.41)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.45)4-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.37)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.27)Other @ 4.27% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.63)0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.65)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.35)3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.85% |
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