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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
GL

Las Palmas
0 - 2
Girona


Marmol (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopez (26'), Dovbyk (57' pen.)
Dovbyk (37'), Herrera (39'), Couto (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-1 Cadiz
Saturday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Las Palmas 1-2 Girona

Girona's poor run of away form will end at some stage, and we are backing that to be this weekend. Las Palmas have lost their way over the last few weeks, and we are expecting a fired-up Girona outfit to navigate their way to a hugely-important three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Las PalmasDrawGirona
36.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 38.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.33% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)69.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.17%
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)24.36% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)58.76% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 36.39%
    Girona 38.24%
    Draw 25.36%
Las PalmasDrawGirona
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-1 Cadiz
Saturday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Girona
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-2 Betis
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Girona
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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