Despite their struggles in recent matches, Sunday's visit of Bochum represents a massive opportunity for Union Berlin to move closer to Bundesliga survival.
Die Unabsteigbaren are notoriously poor on their travels, therefore we cannot envisage Butscher's men earning anything from a trip to the capital this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
1.6) 
-0.15) 
