SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.07%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
32.99% ( -0.17) | 22.36% ( 0.2) | 44.65% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.69% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.35% ( -1.07) | 33.65% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.53% ( -1.22) | 55.47% ( 1.22) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( -0.59) | 20.86% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( -0.93) | 53.55% ( 0.93) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -0.43) | 15.73% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -0.8) | 44.83% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.82% Total : 32.99% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 44.65% |
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