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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
LL

VfL Bochum
0 - 5
B. Leverkusen


Schlotterbeck (45+1'), Ordets (63')
Passlack (15')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schick (41'), Boniface (45+2' pen.), Adli (76'), Stanisic (86'), Grimaldo (90+3')
Tella (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-4 VfL Bochum
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Following back-to-back wins, Bochum will be entering Sunday's clash knowing that anything against the Bundesliga champions will be a bonus. Bayer Leverkusen are two matches away from an invincible league campaign, and we reckon that Alonso's troops will get half the job done this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBayer Leverkusen
22.6% (-7.462 -7.46) 21.95% (0.131 0.13) 55.45% (7.336 7.34)
Both teams to score 59.08% (-8.053 -8.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (-7.364 -7.36)39.8% (7.368 7.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (-8.084 -8.08)62.16% (8.088 8.09)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-9.193 -9.19)31.08% (9.196 9.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-12.263 -12.26)67.4% (12.269 12.27)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (-0.218 -0.22)14.29% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.91% (-0.433 -0.43)42.09% (0.438 0.44)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 22.6%
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.45%
    Draw 21.95%
VfL BochumDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.9% (-1.069 -1.07)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.513 0.51)
2-0 @ 3.03% (-0.521 -0.52)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-1.231 -1.23)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-1.227 -1.23)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.619 -0.62)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 22.6%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.918 0.92)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-1.094 -1.09)
0-0 @ 4.44% (1.362 1.36)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.813 -0.81)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.827 0.83)
0-1 @ 8.64% (2.604 2.6)
0-2 @ 8.41% (2.485 2.49)
1-3 @ 6.37% (0.49 0.49)
0-3 @ 5.45% (1.581 1.58)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.747 -0.75)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.215 0.22)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.754 0.75)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.074 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.03% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-4 VfL Bochum
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Darmstadt
Sunday, March 31 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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