With rotations aplenty and Millwall players getting used to the unforgiving heat, the circumstances do not give rise to a goal-laden affair on Tuesday, where one strike may settle it.
Given the resources at Santo's disposal, that solitary effort should come the way of the Premier League giants, but a goalless affair is not beyond the realm of possibility either.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
0.38) 
-0.47) 
