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NF
Championship | Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
ML

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
Millwall

Ameobi (34', 70'), Yates (83')
Samba (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thompson (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawMillwall
31.03%28.47%40.5%
Both teams to score 45.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.43%60.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.33%80.67%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76%72.24%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69%29.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72%65.28%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.02%
    Millwall 40.49%
    Draw 28.46%
Nottingham ForestDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 31.02%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 12.75%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 40.49%

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