Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.