Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pevidem win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pevidem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pevidem would win this match.
0.95) 
-0.1) 
