Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AVS would win this match.
