SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | UD Oliveirense |
46.49% ( 1.35) | 24.2% ( -0.37) | 29.31% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( 1.15) | 44.26% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 1.11) | 66.63% ( -1.11) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( 1.04) | 19.18% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( 1.69) | 50.85% ( -1.69) |
| UD Oliveirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.09) | 28.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( -0.12) | 63.98% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | UD Oliveirense |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.21% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.31% |
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