SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| UD Oliveirense | Draw | Boavista |
35.57% ( 1.9) | 24.97% ( 0.63) | 39.46% ( -2.53) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -1.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( -2.55) | 45.63% ( 2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -2.48) | 67.96% ( 2.48) |
| UD Oliveirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.11) | 25.04% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( -0.15) | 59.72% ( 0.15) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -2.31) | 22.97% ( 2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( -3.52) | 56.76% ( 3.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Oliveirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.81)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.6)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.46% |
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