SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fiorentina |
42.68% ( 0.17) | 23.7% ( 0.03) | 33.61% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.93% ( -0.2) | 40.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% ( -0.21) | 62.43% ( 0.21) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( -0.01) | 19.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% ( -0.02) | 50.7% ( 0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( -0.2) | 23.54% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% ( -0.3) | 57.59% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
