SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reading in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
41.06% ( 0.09) | 26.97% ( -0) | 31.97% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( -0.01) | 54.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.86% ( -0.01) | 76.14% ( 0.01) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( 0.04) | 26.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( 0.05) | 61.4% ( -0.05) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.06) | 31.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -0.07) | 68.23% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.97% |
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