Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
32.76% ( 0.04) | 27.81% ( -0.01) | 39.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.17% ( 0.05) | 57.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.44% ( 0.04) | 78.56% ( -0.04) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.05) | 32.79% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.06) | 69.35% ( -0.06) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0) | 28.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.61% ( 0.01) | 64.39% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.42% |
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