Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.