After facing off against Premier League opposition earlier in the week, Millwall should be fully capable of controlling a contest with Real Murcia on Friday morning.
The Pimentoneros are behind the Lions comparatively in their pre-season plans, so we expect a sharper visiting side to secure a comfortable win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Murcia had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Real Murcia win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.