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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 at 9.30am UK
Estadio Nueva Condomina
ML

Murcia
1 - 2
Millwall

Angel Carrillo (80' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (34'), Leahy (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Arandina 1-0 Murcia
Wednesday, November 1 at 4.30pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Millwall
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Real Murcia 0-2 Millwall

After facing off against Premier League opposition earlier in the week, Millwall should be fully capable of controlling a contest with Real Murcia on Friday morning. The Pimentoneros are behind the Lions comparatively in their pre-season plans, so we expect a sharper visiting side to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Murcia had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Real Murcia win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Real MurciaDrawMillwall
24.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 48.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (-0.012 -0.01)79.07% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Real Murcia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)24.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)58.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Murcia 24.9%
    Millwall 48.04%
    Draw 27.05%
Real MurciaDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 24.9%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 13.54%
0-2 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 48.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arandina 1-0 Murcia
Wednesday, November 1 at 4.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Murcia 0-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ebro 0-0 Murcia (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, September 12 at 5pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Murcia
Wednesday, November 29 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Murcia 0-3 Barcelona
Tuesday, October 24 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Murcia 3-1 Olot
Wednesday, September 20 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Millwall
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Millwall
Friday, July 19 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Charlton
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, July 13 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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