Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKAV Volendam win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKAV Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.02) 
