SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Volendam |
74.53% ( -0.02) | 14.78% ( 0.01) | 10.68% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.49% ( 0.02) | 28.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.63% ( 0.02) | 49.37% ( -0.02) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.52% ( 0) | 6.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.79% ( -0) | 24.2% ( 0) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( 0.04) | 38.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( 0.04) | 74.86% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.16% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.59% Total : 74.53% | 1-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.78% | 1-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 10.68% |
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