Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Rot-Weiss Erfurt had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-3 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win it was 2-1 (3.06%).