Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
-0) 
0) 
