Villarreal have won five of their last eight road trips in the top flight, and we think that they produce another strong away performance to claim maximum points and spoil Arrasate's Osasunsa farewell.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
1.08) 
-0.41) 
