J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 17, 2022 at 11am UK
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yamahara (29'),
Thiago (60' pen.)
Suzuki (19')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
| Result |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
39.82% ( 0.05) | 28.18% ( 0.29) | 32% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -0.92) |
| 40.66% ( -1.11) | 59.34% ( 1.11) |
| 20.26% ( -0.86) | 79.73% ( 0.86) |
| 70.89% ( -0.5) | 29.1% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.63) | 65.03% ( 0.62) |
| 65.89% ( -0.83) | 34.11% ( 0.82) |
