J1 League | Gameweek 30

Sep 17, 2022 at 11am UK

Avispa Fukuoka
3 - 2
Shimizu S-Pulse

Nakamura (36'), Yamagishi (42', 49')
Croux (86'), Juanma (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Yamahara (29'), Thiago (60' pen.)
Suzuki (19')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
39.82% ( 0.05)	28.18% ( 0.29)	32% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 46.71% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.66% (

-1.11)

59.34% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26% (

-0.86)

79.73% (

0.86)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.5)

29.1% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.63)

65.03% (

0.62)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.83)

34.11% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.9)

70.8% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 39.81%

Shimizu S-Pulse 31.99%

Draw 28.17%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.81%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.99%