Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sporting Braga II had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Sporting Braga II win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
