Santa Clara have punched above their weight in the cup so far, but going head-to-head against Porto represents a tough ask regardless. We are tipping the visitors to come out on top in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Porto
24.05% ( 3.97)	26.58% ( 0.79)	49.36% ( -4.76)

Both teams to score 46.35% (

2.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.58% (

0.77)

57.42% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77% (

0.6)

78.23% (

-0.61)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.47% (

4.47)

39.53% (

-4.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.78% (

3.91)

76.21% (

-3.91)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-1.75)

23.35% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-2.62)

57.31% (

2.62)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 24.05%

Porto 49.36%

Draw 26.58%

Santa Clara	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.35) Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.05%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.45) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 13.42% ( -1.14) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( -1.4) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.97) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.36%