Suffering their first home defeat in near-eight months at the weekend was almost certainly a minor blip given their dominance of the match, so Santa Clara should be confident of returning to winning ways despite the quality of their opponents.
Nacional have had some memorable runs in this competition in recent years, but even though they have avoided any of the top-tier giants, this will still be a difficult test for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.35%).
-0.27) 
0.15) 
