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SC
Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
T

Santa Clara
0 - 0
Tondela

Tondela win 4-2 on penalties

Klismahn (88')
FT
(aet)

Rocha (26'), Luis Lopes Vieira Tavares (37'), Goncalves (64'), Gomes (88')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Santa Clara and Tondela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Viseu 4-1 Tondela
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawTondela
40.95% (-0.226 -0.23) 27.38% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.67% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.95% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)56.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52% (0.038 0.04)77.48% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.102 -0.1)27.1% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.133 -0.13)62.48% (0.131 0.13)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.181 0.18)32.85% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.202 0.2)69.42% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 40.95%
    Tondela 31.67%
    Draw 27.37%
Santa ClaraDrawTondela
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.95%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.67%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 5-3 Santa Clara
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 3-2 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Viseu 4-1 Tondela
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Tondela
Friday, December 9 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-1 Torreense
Thursday, November 24 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Tondela 0-0 Estoril
Saturday, November 19 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Tondela
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Tondela
Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup


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