Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
0.01) 
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