Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for 1e Dezembro had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest 1e Dezembro win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.