Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Mafra win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torreense in this match.