Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0.3) 
-0.43) 
