Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Torreense had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Torreense win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.11) 
