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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
35.18% ( -0.23) | 25.35% ( 0.15) | 39.47% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.73) | 47.4% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( -0.68) | 69.61% ( 0.67) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( -0.47) | 26.09% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( -0.64) | 61.15% ( 0.64) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.29) | 23.75% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( -0.41) | 57.89% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.47% |
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