Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
