Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Chorley win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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