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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Chorley win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
21.46% ( -0.01) | 23.16% | 55.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( -0.01) | 46.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( -0.01) | 68.83% ( 0.01) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( -0.02) | 35.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( -0.02) | 72.68% ( 0.02) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0) | 16.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.48% ( 0) | 46.52% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.46% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.94% 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 55.38% |
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