SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
30.22% ( -18.17) | 24.44% ( -1.05) | 45.33% ( 19.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( 6.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( 6.95) | 44.88% ( -6.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 6.36) | 67.23% ( -6.36) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -6.53) | 27.96% ( 6.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( -9.15) | 63.6% ( 9.15) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 14.72) | 19.91% ( -14.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( 19.31) | 52.05% ( -19.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -2.04) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -4.33)2-0 @ 4.52% ( -4.29)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -1.7)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -2.6)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.86)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.22% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.94)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -1.86)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.45)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 2.81) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 1.12)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 3.08)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 2.7)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 2.43)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 1.42)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 1.4)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 1.18)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.81)Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.34% |
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