Even though Union have not scored in three consecutive away games, the capital club's impressive record against Gladbach points to that sequence without a road goal ending on Sunday.
However, the hosts should back themselves to end a five-match losing run against this weekend's opponents (seven-game streak without a win), with both out-of-form sides possibly sharing the spoils at Borussia-Park.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.