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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BORUSSIA-PARK Nebenplatz 1
UB

Borussia M'bach
0 - 0
Union Berlin


Lainer (46'), Reitz (89')
FT

Vogt (44'), Khedira (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern
Saturday, April 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-1 Union Berlin

Even though Union have not scored in three consecutive away games, the capital club's impressive record against Gladbach points to that sequence without a road goal ending on Sunday. However, the hosts should back themselves to end a five-match losing run against this weekend's opponents (seven-game streak without a win), with both out-of-form sides possibly sharing the spoils at Borussia-Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
54.01% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27) 22.99% (0.18 0.18) 23% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.502 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.714 -0.71)44.08% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (-0.698 -0.7)66.46% (0.697 0.7)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.348 -0.35)16.26% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.21% (-0.635 -0.63)45.79% (0.634 0.63)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)33.1% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (-0.353 -0.35)69.7% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 54.01%
    Union Berlin 23%
    Draw 22.98%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern
Saturday, April 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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