SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Sutton United |
17.92% ( -0.2) | 21.05% ( 0.14) | 61.03% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.95) | 42.32% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.96) | 64.72% ( 0.96) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.79) | 37.16% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% ( -0.79) | 73.95% ( 0.8) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( -0.28) | 13.4% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -0.57) | 40.32% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.05% | 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 9.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.18% Total : 61.01% |
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