Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
