SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Watford |
33.8% ( 0.05) | 26.02% ( 0.02) | 40.16% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( -0.08) | 50.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.08) | 72.49% ( 0.07) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( -0.01) | 28.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( -0.01) | 64.22% ( 0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.08) | 24.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.11) | 59.4% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.16% |
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