SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Watford |
40% ( 0.06) | 24.7% ( 0.01) | 35.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.06) | 44.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -0.06) | 66.78% ( 0.06) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.01) | 22.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 0.01) | 55.56% ( -0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.06) | 24.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( -0.09) | 59.14% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.3% |
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