The Shrews have been far more consistent at home, and we believe they will be able to take advantage of a Wycombe side who are likely to be more fatigued, having already played this week and perhaps still mentally drained from losing the EFL Trophy in such dramatic fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
-0.03) 
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