Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
