SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Al Raed |
41.32% ( -0.3) | 25.58% ( 0.28) | 33.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( -1.24) | 48.83% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( -1.14) | 70.93% ( 1.14) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.69) | 23.44% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( -1.01) | 57.45% ( 1.01) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.6) | 28.05% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( -0.77) | 63.7% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Al Raed |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.1% |
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