Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 5.50pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mersinaj (51'), Smakaj (64'), Zivkovic (68'),
Leovac (70')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Lokomotiva.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
59.54% ( 0.01) | 22.09% ( -0.02) | 18.37% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0.06) |
| 53.79% ( 0.07) | 46.2% ( -0.08) |
| 31.5% ( 0.07) | 68.49% ( -0.07) |
| 84.86% ( 0.02) | 15.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.05) | 43.7% ( -0.05) |
| 61.04% ( 0.05) | 38.95% ( -0.05) |
