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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2021 at 12am UK
 

Suriname
2 - 1
Guadeloupe

Vlijter (14'), Hasselbaink (79')
Alberg (78'), Koolwijk (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phaeton (20')
Annette (70'), T (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
SurinameDrawGuadeloupe
51.22%24.29%24.49%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79%48.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63%70.37%
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18%18.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74%50.26%
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94%34.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26%70.74%
Score Analysis
    Suriname 51.22%
    Guadeloupe 24.49%
    Draw 24.29%
SurinameDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.22%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.49%

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